Mwelekeo Insights has released the final results of its Embakasi South Constituency 2027 MP Survey.
The poll gives a clear picture of how voters in this Nairobi constituency currently view the main contenders for the parliamentary seat.
The findings show a tight contest at the top and provide useful insights into the political mood in Embakasi South.
Top Contenders Lead a Close Race
According to the survey, Eric Janganya of Linda Mwananchi is currently in the lead with 24.2 percent support. He is closely followed by Julius Mawathe of Wiper, who has 23.2 percent.
The difference between the two is very small, showing that the race is highly competitive.In third place is Irshad Sumra of ODM with 21.7 percent.
These three candidates together account for a large share of the support, making the top of the race particularly interesting.
Other Candidates and Their Standing
Further down the rankings, Samwel Masaki of UDA holds 11.8 percent. Victor Ochieng Ogweno, also of ODM, is close behind with 11 percent.
Jared Oundo of ODM has 4.6 percent, while Calystus Wafula stands at 3.4 percent.
These results show that while a few candidates are clearly ahead, several others still have a presence among voters. The presence of more than one ODM candidate is also notable, as it reflects internal competition within the party in this constituency.
What the Results Suggest
The survey points to a fragmented but competitive field. The top three candidates are separated by only a few percentage points.
This means that small shifts in voter preference could change the order of the rankings as the 2027 elections approach.
Eric Janganya’s lead with Linda Mwananchi suggests that some voters are looking beyond the more established parties.
At the same time, Julius Mawathe’s strong showing with Wiper and Irshad Sumra’s solid support under ODM show that traditional party bases remain important in Embakasi South.
The combined support for ODM candidates is significant when added together, even though it is split among three individuals.
This could become an important factor if the party decides to settle on a single candidate closer to the election.
Local Issues and Voter mood
Embakasi South is a densely populated urban constituency with a mix of residential and commercial areas. Residents often raise concerns about infrastructure, employment opportunities, security, and access to basic services.
The survey results may reflect how voters judge the different candidates on these everyday issues.
Candidates who can clearly explain how they plan to address local problems are likely to gain more support in the coming months. The current rankings give an early indication of who is already connecting with voters and who still needs to do more work to increase their visibility.
With the 2027 general elections still some time away, these figures are not final predictions. Voter opinions can change based on campaigns, public debates, and how candidates perform on the ground. Still, the survey offers a useful baseline for understanding the current state of the race.
Political parties and independent candidates will likely use this information to adjust their strategies. Those near the top will try to protect and expand their support, while those further behind will look for ways to improve their standing.
Mwelekeo Insights
Mwelekeo Insights continues to provide valuable data through surveys like this one. By regularly measuring public opinion in constituencies across the country, the organization helps voters, candidates, and observers stay informed about the political landscape. Past surveys of a similar nature have also offered timely views of voter preferences, and this Embakasi South poll follows in that tradition of delivering clear and useful findings.
