By Kiyo Ng’ang’a
It is such a time in the battlefield where soldiers now have stopped fighting for the country for their individual survival, the Third Basis county Revenue Allocation Formula battle.
In ODM, it is no longer a battle to push Raila Odinga to the mantle but a battle for individual counties that support baba to fight for their survival.
In Jubilee Asili, Ruto can not tell any senator whether to support or not, anyway who are his senators who can oppose this? Most of the riftvalley counties stand to gain. He can only tell Kithure Kindiki to vote what he (Kindiki) want. (Tharaka Nithi is a victim)
This battle is not about 2022, it is a fight for resources.
Unlike the Second Basis County Revenue Allocation formula whose parameters has been favouring areas with huge Land mass, the Third Basis County Revenue Allocation formula propose the parameters of population and basic revenue share be allocated 20%, agriculture 16%, poverty 14 %, access to roads 7%, landmass 5%, revenue collections efforts and fiscal prudence 1%.
Areas with huge population stand to gain which is fair. Isn’t it?
The reality is that revenue is allocated to provide services to people. “Money is for services and services are for the people”. Areas with more people have a higher per capita demand for services therefore need for more funds.
Incidentally, most of the counties that support Raila Odinga are on the other edge of fairness, they stand to lose chunks of what they get if the above formula passes. This the reason baba might want them to see he is with them in the mourning. But is he?
Among the biggest losers in the new lineup is Wajir County whose allocation will be cut by Sh2 billion.
Marsabit and Mandera will see their revenues drop by Sh1.9 billion each, Garissa where the BBI chair senator Yusuf Haji comes from will lose Sh1.6 billion (I don’t expect him to support, it is a fight for individual survival). Tana River (Sh1.5 billion), Mombasa(Sh1.6 billion), Kwale (Sh1 billion) Narok (Sh981 million) and Isiolo (Sh869 million).
Other counties that could see their revenues reduced are Kilifi (Sh859 million), Turkana (Sh547 million), Kitui (Sh432 million), Makueni (Sh423 million), Samburu (Sh403 million), Taita Taveta (Sh399 million), Tharaka Nithi (Sh338 million), and Vihiga (Sh239 million).
All of the above are Raila’s strongholds except Tharaka Nithi, the said counties will lose up 17B cumulatively.
The top gainers will be Nandi (Sh1.4 billion), Uasin Gishu (Sh1.2 billion), Nakuru (Sh1.2 billion), Kakamega (Sh997 million), Kiambu (Sh986 million) and Bungoma (Sh837 million), Kirinyaga (Sh779 million), West Pokot (Sh777 million), Baringo (Sh722 million), Bomet (Sh673 million) and Siaya (Sh642 million)
Others gainers are Migori (Sh574 Million), Kericho (Sh556 Million), Busia (Sh559 Million), Machakos (Sh551 Million), Laikipia (Sh523 Million), Embu (Sh504 Million), Nyandarua (Sh401 Million), Nyeri (Sh277 million) and Murang’a (Sh92 million)
Under the arrangement, at least 29 counties will gain more revenue while 18 lose.
I expect at least 29 sane senators supporting this because it is beneficial to their respective counties.
It is not about Raila or Ruto becoming President or who is more loyal to Uhuru who is the initiator of the formula, it is about what which county gets.
Honestly speaking 1 man 1 vote 1 shilling is fair in all fairness. We going nothing short of that.
(The author is a security expert, managing partner at Armistice Security Consult International and political commentator. All the rights in the articles bearing his name herein belongs to him.)
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